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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.43+1.04vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20+0.24vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.58vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.39-1.15vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-1.87-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Middlebury College0.430.4%1st Place
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2.24Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.3%1st Place
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3.58University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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2.85Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
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4.29Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 39.7% | 29.6% | 20.3% | 8.3% | 2.1% |
| Evan Tofolo | 31.8% | 29.4% | 24.0% | 12.5% | 2.3% |
| Cole Perra | 9.2% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 35.9% | 25.5% |
| John O'Connell | 16.3% | 23.6% | 27.7% | 23.5% | 8.9% |
| Neil Flynn | 3.0% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 19.8% | 61.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.