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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20+1.25vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43-0.02vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.39-0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-0.37vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-1.87-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.3%1st Place
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1.98Middlebury College0.430.4%1st Place
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2.84Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
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3.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.3Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Tofolo | 32.9% | 28.6% | 22.1% | 12.9% | 3.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 40.3% | 31.0% | 20.5% | 7.1% | 1.1% |
| John O'Connell | 17.3% | 21.5% | 28.2% | 25.6% | 7.4% |
| Cole Perra | 6.0% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 34.0% | 26.7% |
| Neil Flynn | 3.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 20.4% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.