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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University-0.39+1.86vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College0.43-0.02vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-0.77vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11-1.37vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-1.87-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
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1.98Middlebury College0.430.4%1st Place
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2.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.3%1st Place
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3.63University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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4.3Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John O'Connell | 18.0% | 21.1% | 27.8% | 23.2% | 9.9% |
| Walter Chiles | 39.9% | 31.5% | 20.3% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Evan Tofolo | 31.8% | 30.7% | 22.4% | 13.0% | 2.1% |
| Cole Perra | 6.9% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 37.8% | 25.2% |
| Neil Flynn | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.