← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University0.33+2.52vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island1.20+0.17vs Predicted
-
3Fairfield University0.42+0.13vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont-0.62+1.03vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09-0.33vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-1.44vs Predicted
-
7Amherst College-1.69-0.36vs Predicted
-
8Boston University-1.31-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.52Brown University0.3315.7%1st Place
-
2.17University of Rhode Island1.2040.9%1st Place
-
3.13Fairfield University0.4219.5%1st Place
-
5.03University of Vermont-0.625.5%1st Place
-
4.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.096.9%1st Place
-
4.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.157.2%1st Place
-
6.64Amherst College-1.691.9%1st Place
-
6.28Boston University-1.312.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keller Morrison | 15.7% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Max Sigel | 40.9% | 25.5% | 17.6% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 19.5% | 21.7% | 19.9% | 17.0% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Begin | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 8.8% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 18.1% | 14.3% | 5.6% |
| John Divelbiss | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 5.1% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 21.3% | 46.7% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 27.2% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.