Race 5B

charles-river-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
OJ O'Connell 32.0% 24.4% 16.8% 10.7% 8.0% 3.6% 2.2% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Lizzy Hamilton 10.8% 14.2% 12.0% 12.7% 12.5% 9.5% 10.1% 7.9% 5.3% 2.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Ian Paice 10.5% 10.9% 11.4% 10.0% 11.8% 11.7% 10.6% 9.1% 6.9% 4.3% 2.3% 0.5%
Javier Ramos 4.6% 8.0% 8.2% 10.5% 8.8% 11.8% 10.9% 10.6% 9.7% 7.0% 7.0% 2.9%
James Downer 6.8% 7.0% 9.4% 8.6% 10.0% 9.6% 10.7% 10.0% 10.7% 8.0% 6.5% 2.7%
Luke Miller 3.5% 2.8% 4.6% 6.0% 5.4% 5.3% 8.2% 10.3% 11.4% 14.2% 15.0% 13.3%
Zachary Drach 5.1% 4.6% 6.5% 6.3% 8.6% 9.6% 8.4% 9.3% 13.6% 12.4% 8.9% 6.7%
Max Fleischfresser 3.2% 5.1% 5.1% 5.3% 6.6% 6.9% 7.5% 11.6% 11.3% 13.4% 14.0% 10.0%
Joseph Ballow 5.9% 5.8% 7.9% 11.1% 9.1% 11.5% 12.2% 9.7% 9.7% 8.4% 6.1% 2.6%
Abby Preston 13.7% 13.2% 13.3% 13.3% 13.2% 11.0% 8.7% 5.7% 3.6% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Matthew Wood 2.3% 1.9% 2.3% 2.6% 4.0% 5.9% 5.5% 7.6% 9.3% 13.1% 20.8% 24.7%
Kendra Norton 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 2.0% 3.6% 5.0% 6.6% 8.1% 12.7% 16.7% 36.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.