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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.43+1.04vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.11+0.62vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-1.77vs Predicted
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5Bentley University-0.39-2.17vs Predicted
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6Sacred Heart University-1.87-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Middlebury College0.430.4%1st Place
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3.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.110.1%1st Place
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2.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.3%1st Place
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2.83Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
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4.28Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 40.0% | 29.0% | 20.3% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Cole Perra | 7.4% | 10.2% | 20.3% | 37.2% | 24.9% |
| Evan Tofolo | 32.3% | 30.5% | 22.2% | 12.4% | 2.6% |
| John O'Connell | 16.7% | 23.8% | 27.7% | 23.1% | 8.7% |
| Neil Flynn | 3.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 19.0% | 61.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.