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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20+1.01vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.43-1.19vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.39-1.45vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-1.87-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.3%1st Place
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1.81Middlebury College0.430.4%1st Place
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2.55Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
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3.63Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Tofolo | 34.7% | 35.5% | 24.3% | 5.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 43.5% | 34.4% | 19.5% | 2.6% |
| John O'Connell | 18.2% | 23.9% | 42.6% | 15.3% |
| Neil Flynn | 3.6% | 6.2% | 13.6% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.