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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Middlebury College0.43-0.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.20-0.97vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.39-1.45vs Predicted
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5Sacred Heart University-1.87-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79Middlebury College0.430.5%1st Place
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2.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.200.3%1st Place
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2.55Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
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3.63Sacred Heart University-1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 45.9% | 33.1% | 17.3% | 3.7% |
| Evan Tofolo | 32.9% | 35.6% | 27.2% | 4.3% |
| John O'Connell | 17.9% | 24.4% | 42.2% | 15.5% |
| Neil Flynn | 3.3% | 6.9% | 13.3% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.