Race 1A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cody Roe 12.8% 13.2% 13.5% 15.2% 14.0% 10.3% 8.4% 5.8% 4.6% 1.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Noah Stapleton 17.2% 19.5% 16.1% 13.3% 10.8% 9.3% 7.9% 3.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Freddie Parkin 26.6% 21.0% 17.4% 12.9% 9.9% 6.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Parker Moore 10.9% 14.1% 14.3% 13.7% 11.8% 11.8% 9.8% 5.9% 4.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Keith Grupenhoff 6.4% 7.4% 8.1% 10.5% 11.1% 11.1% 11.6% 11.0% 10.5% 7.6% 4.6% 0.1%
Richard Pokorny 6.5% 6.4% 7.3% 8.1% 9.0% 10.9% 13.5% 12.7% 11.0% 9.9% 4.3% 0.4%
Turner Ryon 4.6% 5.0% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 9.1% 10.3% 13.8% 12.1% 12.2% 10.8% 0.3%
Walter McFarland 5.3% 3.7% 5.6% 6.0% 7.8% 9.0% 8.4% 12.8% 14.1% 14.7% 11.2% 1.4%
Jan Mistak 2.5% 2.1% 2.8% 3.9% 4.9% 6.5% 8.4% 11.5% 13.5% 20.1% 21.7% 2.1%
Ryan Keenan 5.0% 5.3% 6.7% 5.9% 8.3% 9.2% 10.8% 12.6% 14.7% 12.5% 8.7% 0.3%
Rory Murray 1.9% 2.2% 1.8% 2.7% 4.1% 5.9% 7.1% 8.4% 11.8% 17.0% 33.2% 3.9%
Cole Norris 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.8% 0.3% 0.7% 1.7% 3.9% 91.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.