Race 2A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Noah Stapleton 17.4% 18.2% 15.2% 14.3% 12.1% 9.7% 6.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Rory Murray 1.6% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 4.4% 6.2% 6.9% 8.5% 12.2% 20.1% 30.1% 2.6%
Cody Roe 15.2% 13.6% 12.8% 12.5% 14.5% 11.3% 8.7% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Freddie Parkin 25.4% 25.4% 16.6% 11.7% 6.9% 7.9% 2.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jan Mistak 1.1% 3.9% 3.5% 4.1% 4.3% 5.8% 9.4% 9.5% 12.5% 16.1% 26.2% 3.6%
Parker Moore 12.9% 11.9% 13.4% 12.9% 13.2% 13.0% 8.9% 7.1% 3.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Keith Grupenhoff 7.2% 7.7% 8.7% 11.3% 10.4% 10.0% 11.7% 11.3% 10.5% 7.6% 3.5% 0.1%
Ryan Keenan 5.1% 4.3% 7.5% 7.4% 7.2% 8.5% 9.6% 12.5% 14.7% 13.3% 9.1% 0.8%
Turner Ryon 3.5% 4.2% 5.9% 8.1% 9.3% 8.8% 13.0% 11.6% 13.9% 12.4% 9.1% 0.2%
Richard Pokorny 6.5% 6.3% 8.2% 8.6% 9.6% 10.3% 11.9% 14.0% 10.3% 9.3% 4.9% 0.1%
Walter McFarland 3.7% 2.6% 5.4% 5.8% 8.0% 8.3% 10.5% 12.1% 14.6% 15.4% 12.2% 1.4%
Cole Norris 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 1.5% 1.7% 3.3% 91.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.