Race 3A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Freddie Parkin 25.6% 21.7% 19.0% 11.7% 9.5% 5.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Moore 11.0% 14.3% 12.2% 13.8% 11.8% 11.9% 9.7% 8.0% 4.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
Cody Roe 15.2% 11.9% 15.3% 12.5% 13.2% 12.5% 8.9% 5.6% 3.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Keith Grupenhoff 5.0% 7.5% 8.7% 11.1% 11.1% 9.6% 13.4% 10.4% 9.9% 8.8% 4.2% 0.3%
Ryan Keenan 4.1% 4.4% 7.0% 6.8% 7.6% 10.4% 10.0% 14.0% 11.2% 13.4% 10.4% 0.7%
Noah Stapleton 18.4% 19.4% 13.7% 14.6% 12.9% 7.7% 6.1% 4.3% 1.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Pokorny 6.4% 7.8% 8.0% 7.8% 9.7% 11.0% 10.5% 13.2% 11.2% 8.8% 5.5% 0.1%
Turner Ryon 5.2% 5.0% 6.2% 7.5% 7.5% 7.6% 11.8% 11.8% 14.2% 12.3% 9.9% 1.0%
Walter McFarland 4.3% 3.0% 4.4% 6.0% 9.0% 10.4% 11.6% 11.8% 14.7% 14.3% 10.0% 0.5%
Rory Murray 2.0% 3.1% 2.9% 3.4% 3.5% 5.9% 6.6% 7.9% 12.4% 18.8% 30.6% 2.9%
Jan Mistak 2.5% 1.8% 2.5% 4.4% 3.8% 7.0% 7.5% 10.5% 14.7% 17.0% 25.3% 3.0%
Cole Norris 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 1.7% 3.4% 91.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.