Race 4A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cody Roe 12.5% 12.9% 15.0% 14.4% 13.4% 11.0% 9.2% 5.4% 4.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Noah Stapleton 17.4% 19.5% 15.2% 13.6% 11.5% 10.9% 5.4% 4.1% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Freddie Parkin 26.7% 21.0% 17.2% 11.9% 11.1% 6.6% 3.0% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Moore 11.5% 14.2% 14.6% 11.8% 13.9% 9.9% 9.6% 5.6% 5.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Ryan Keenan 4.4% 4.8% 5.0% 8.0% 7.7% 10.0% 10.5% 12.2% 12.0% 13.6% 11.0% 0.8%
Walter McFarland 4.0% 4.2% 4.3% 7.4% 6.1% 9.1% 10.1% 13.2% 14.0% 14.8% 11.9% 0.9%
Richard Pokorny 6.3% 6.5% 9.0% 9.3% 9.3% 10.5% 12.1% 11.5% 11.7% 7.9% 5.8% 0.1%
Keith Grupenhoff 8.4% 8.2% 7.5% 10.1% 9.8% 10.5% 12.4% 12.5% 10.2% 5.5% 4.5% 0.4%
Rory Murray 1.6% 1.9% 3.3% 2.8% 4.6% 4.9% 8.3% 9.7% 12.5% 19.6% 28.3% 2.5%
Jan Mistak 2.7% 3.4% 3.2% 3.0% 5.1% 6.5% 8.1% 10.8% 12.7% 17.3% 24.7% 2.5%
Turner Ryon 4.2% 3.3% 5.6% 7.4% 7.1% 10.0% 11.0% 12.5% 13.4% 15.5% 8.7% 1.3%
Cole Norris 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 1.7% 3.4% 91.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.