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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.20+1.28vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.33+1.62vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+1.83vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42-0.89vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.05-0.62vs Predicted
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6Boston University-1.31+0.43vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-2.33vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-1.69-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28University of Rhode Island1.2036.4%1st Place
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3.62Brown University0.3315.0%1st Place
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4.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.096.6%1st Place
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3.11Fairfield University0.4219.8%1st Place
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4.38University of Vermont-0.059.2%1st Place
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6.43Boston University-1.312.2%1st Place
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4.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.158.6%1st Place
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6.68Amherst College-1.692.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 36.4% | 27.6% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Keller Morrison | 15.0% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 20.2% | 16.4% | 6.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 19.8% | 21.0% | 21.2% | 17.1% | 11.2% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Ella Towner | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 3.8% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 27.8% | 35.7% |
| John Divelbiss | 8.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 13.9% | 5.8% |
| Adrian Whitney | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 22.9% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.