Race 6A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Noah Stapleton 17.7% 16.6% 15.7% 14.8% 11.6% 10.0% 5.8% 3.9% 2.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Turner Ryon 3.8% 5.2% 5.6% 7.0% 7.0% 9.4% 10.0% 11.4% 14.1% 14.8% 10.8% 0.9%
Freddie Parkin 25.0% 22.1% 16.9% 13.3% 10.7% 5.7% 3.6% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Keenan 3.8% 4.1% 5.2% 7.5% 8.7% 9.4% 11.2% 12.1% 12.7% 13.0% 11.7% 0.6%
Parker Moore 11.4% 14.3% 14.1% 12.4% 9.8% 12.4% 8.7% 7.1% 6.5% 2.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Cody Roe 14.0% 13.2% 14.7% 13.4% 12.2% 10.9% 8.4% 6.9% 2.9% 2.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Richard Pokorny 6.1% 7.1% 8.5% 8.0% 9.6% 10.0% 10.9% 12.3% 11.3% 9.0% 6.8% 0.4%
Keith Grupenhoff 7.8% 8.2% 7.7% 8.7% 10.2% 9.3% 13.2% 12.3% 10.0% 7.2% 4.8% 0.6%
Walter McFarland 4.1% 3.0% 4.2% 7.1% 8.1% 9.8% 11.3% 11.1% 15.1% 13.7% 12.0% 0.5%
Jan Mistak 3.1% 2.9% 3.5% 3.0% 5.3% 5.6% 6.4% 10.2% 11.9% 17.4% 28.1% 2.6%
Wells Connor 2.9% 3.0% 3.8% 4.7% 6.6% 7.3% 9.9% 10.5% 12.1% 17.0% 20.1% 2.1%
Cole Norris 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.6% 1.9% 2.9% 92.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.