Race 7A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Freddie Parkin 25.0% 23.2% 17.3% 13.8% 10.4% 5.3% 2.8% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Roe 14.7% 14.9% 13.4% 14.4% 13.6% 10.6% 8.4% 5.5% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Keith Grupenhoff 6.6% 6.9% 8.6% 7.9% 11.2% 12.7% 13.3% 13.7% 11.5% 7.4% 0.2%
Noah Stapleton 17.6% 15.0% 19.2% 15.4% 11.0% 9.6% 6.9% 3.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Jan Mistak 2.7% 3.4% 3.3% 3.6% 5.3% 6.8% 9.1% 13.1% 16.6% 32.6% 3.5%
Richard Pokorny 5.5% 7.4% 7.5% 8.8% 9.4% 11.8% 14.0% 13.0% 13.5% 8.7% 0.4%
Parker Moore 14.4% 13.9% 14.0% 13.3% 13.4% 12.4% 7.6% 5.8% 3.4% 1.7% 0.1%
Walter McFarland 4.3% 4.5% 4.6% 7.4% 8.6% 11.1% 11.8% 14.2% 15.8% 16.4% 1.3%
Turner Ryon 4.1% 4.7% 5.3% 7.8% 8.5% 9.4% 12.8% 15.0% 15.8% 14.6% 2.0%
Ryan Keenan 4.7% 6.1% 6.6% 7.4% 8.6% 10.0% 12.8% 13.6% 16.1% 13.5% 0.6%
Cole Norris 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.9% 3.6% 91.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.