Race 8A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Freddie Parkin 26.3% 22.4% 16.8% 14.8% 9.6% 5.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Pokorny 5.9% 7.2% 8.7% 7.7% 11.0% 11.5% 13.4% 12.5% 12.4% 9.4% 0.3%
Parker Moore 11.4% 11.0% 15.1% 12.5% 14.4% 12.3% 9.5% 8.0% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Keith Grupenhoff 6.3% 8.0% 6.9% 10.0% 9.5% 13.6% 14.3% 13.0% 10.6% 7.5% 0.3%
Cody Roe 15.7% 13.7% 14.5% 14.6% 13.1% 9.9% 8.0% 6.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.0%
Ryan Keenan 3.7% 5.3% 6.3% 8.4% 7.9% 10.0% 12.5% 13.9% 16.4% 15.0% 0.6%
Turner Ryon 5.2% 4.8% 6.9% 7.4% 8.7% 10.4% 12.2% 15.0% 16.0% 12.1% 1.3%
Jan Mistak 2.7% 3.2% 3.3% 3.4% 6.3% 7.0% 10.0% 11.4% 17.6% 32.2% 2.9%
Noah Stapleton 18.5% 19.1% 15.7% 13.4% 11.9% 8.9% 6.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Walter McFarland 4.1% 5.0% 5.7% 7.6% 7.3% 10.5% 10.7% 14.5% 15.6% 17.6% 1.4%
Cole Norris 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.4% 3.2% 93.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.