Race 9A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Noah Stapleton 16.8% 19.0% 16.6% 14.3% 13.0% 9.9% 5.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Parker Moore 13.3% 13.7% 13.3% 14.2% 13.7% 10.8% 8.7% 7.6% 3.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Cody Roe 13.4% 11.7% 15.4% 14.8% 13.2% 11.1% 9.7% 6.1% 3.1% 1.3% 0.2%
Ryan Keenan 3.6% 5.1% 5.3% 6.9% 7.6% 8.9% 14.6% 13.4% 16.2% 17.2% 1.2%
Turner Ryon 4.8% 4.9% 5.8% 8.3% 7.2% 11.4% 11.8% 13.4% 15.2% 16.1% 1.1%
Freddie Parkin 26.7% 22.8% 17.2% 11.9% 8.7% 6.4% 3.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Walter McFarland 4.7% 4.7% 5.6% 6.8% 8.7% 9.7% 11.7% 13.9% 18.2% 14.7% 1.3%
Jan Mistak 3.0% 2.7% 3.3% 3.5% 6.7% 7.8% 8.6% 12.6% 17.4% 31.4% 3.0%
Keith Grupenhoff 6.4% 8.1% 8.7% 10.2% 10.1% 12.6% 13.2% 12.1% 11.1% 6.8% 0.7%
Richard Pokorny 6.9% 7.2% 8.7% 8.9% 10.9% 11.1% 12.4% 14.2% 11.5% 8.0% 0.2%
Cole Norris 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 1.0% 2.1% 2.9% 92.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.