Race 10A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Freddie Parkin 25.3% 22.6% 17.0% 14.4% 10.8% 4.9% 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Stapleton 19.2% 18.9% 16.8% 13.6% 11.2% 10.1% 5.6% 3.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Richard Pokorny 5.5% 7.3% 7.1% 8.1% 9.6% 12.0% 13.2% 14.7% 13.1% 8.9% 0.5%
Cody Roe 13.3% 12.2% 13.9% 15.9% 14.1% 10.5% 9.4% 6.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Turner Ryon 5.0% 4.8% 6.6% 6.5% 8.6% 10.6% 11.2% 12.8% 16.8% 16.1% 1.0%
Keith Grupenhoff 7.1% 7.7% 8.9% 9.4% 10.4% 12.6% 13.2% 12.5% 10.7% 7.2% 0.3%
Walter McFarland 4.7% 4.4% 5.6% 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 12.1% 16.3% 15.5% 15.4% 1.4%
Ryan Keenan 5.0% 4.7% 6.5% 7.9% 9.0% 11.1% 12.9% 13.0% 14.4% 14.3% 1.2%
Parker Moore 11.4% 15.0% 13.9% 11.8% 12.1% 12.5% 9.1% 7.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.1%
Jan Mistak 3.1% 2.3% 3.6% 5.1% 5.8% 6.2% 9.7% 11.7% 18.1% 31.8% 2.6%
Cole Norris 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.5% 1.9% 2.9% 92.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.