Race 11A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cody Roe 13.1% 12.1% 16.4% 14.4% 14.0% 13.5% 7.9% 5.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.1%
Parker Moore 12.7% 14.6% 12.8% 14.1% 13.1% 11.1% 9.7% 7.1% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1%
Noah Stapleton 16.0% 18.0% 16.5% 16.1% 11.2% 9.8% 6.7% 3.8% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Richard Pokorny 5.3% 7.0% 6.9% 7.5% 10.3% 11.5% 14.1% 14.1% 14.1% 8.8% 0.4%
Freddie Parkin 27.1% 23.0% 18.1% 12.0% 8.9% 4.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Walter McFarland 3.3% 5.4% 4.8% 6.6% 7.6% 8.9% 12.2% 14.1% 17.2% 19.0% 0.9%
Jan Mistak 3.4% 3.7% 2.6% 4.2% 5.5% 7.7% 8.5% 12.2% 17.6% 31.4% 3.2%
Ryan Keenan 5.3% 5.0% 6.0% 8.8% 10.1% 10.0% 11.5% 14.8% 14.3% 13.3% 0.9%
Turner Ryon 4.9% 4.2% 6.5% 6.2% 7.9% 9.5% 12.4% 14.9% 15.7% 15.5% 2.3%
Keith Grupenhoff 8.6% 6.9% 9.2% 9.7% 11.4% 13.1% 12.3% 11.4% 11.5% 5.9% 0.0%
Cole Norris 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 1.7% 3.8% 92.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.