Race 12A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Freddie Parkin 25.4% 22.8% 16.0% 14.9% 10.5% 5.9% 2.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Cody Roe 14.2% 14.2% 16.2% 14.1% 11.5% 11.5% 7.8% 6.4% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Noah Stapleton 16.5% 16.1% 17.4% 15.7% 12.1% 10.1% 6.4% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Ryan Keenan 4.1% 4.2% 5.4% 6.5% 7.6% 10.3% 14.4% 14.5% 15.6% 15.9% 1.5%
Parker Moore 13.4% 14.3% 12.1% 12.8% 12.8% 11.2% 10.2% 6.6% 4.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Keith Grupenhoff 6.4% 8.3% 8.9% 8.2% 11.4% 12.4% 12.6% 13.0% 10.4% 7.7% 0.7%
Jan Mistak 3.2% 3.7% 3.3% 3.7% 5.4% 7.3% 9.2% 11.6% 17.5% 32.1% 3.0%
Walter McFarland 5.0% 3.3% 6.4% 5.9% 9.6% 10.2% 10.8% 14.3% 17.1% 16.5% 0.9%
Cole Norris 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 1.0% 0.7% 0.9% 3.7% 92.2%
Richard Pokorny 7.0% 7.1% 7.6% 9.6% 11.2% 10.8% 12.5% 12.8% 13.6% 7.1% 0.7%
Turner Ryon 4.6% 5.6% 6.6% 8.4% 7.6% 10.0% 12.7% 14.7% 14.9% 14.0% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.