Race 13A

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Parker Moore 10.6% 12.7% 14.5% 13.4% 12.4% 15.0% 8.9% 7.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.1%
Freddie Parkin 27.7% 22.4% 17.0% 12.6% 9.0% 6.8% 2.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Stapleton 16.9% 17.7% 16.9% 13.8% 13.9% 9.3% 6.2% 3.6% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Cody Roe 12.9% 14.7% 12.5% 15.7% 12.7% 11.2% 9.3% 6.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Walter McFarland 4.4% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 7.1% 10.4% 11.1% 13.5% 17.7% 18.7% 0.8%
Richard Pokorny 5.9% 7.1% 7.8% 9.0% 10.1% 11.5% 13.1% 13.8% 10.7% 10.6% 0.4%
Turner Ryon 6.2% 4.6% 5.6% 7.1% 9.5% 8.9% 13.8% 15.9% 14.4% 13.1% 0.9%
Keith Grupenhoff 7.3% 7.4% 9.8% 11.0% 11.9% 11.4% 12.7% 10.6% 11.3% 6.5% 0.1%
Jan Mistak 2.6% 3.4% 3.9% 2.5% 5.3% 5.2% 9.2% 11.6% 19.1% 32.5% 4.7%
Ryan Keenan 5.1% 5.7% 5.8% 8.7% 8.0% 10.0% 12.9% 14.3% 16.3% 12.5% 0.7%
Cole Norris 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 3.5% 92.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.