Race 14A

nickerson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Richard Pokorny 4.2% 7.6% 6.9% 9.6% 10.2% 12.0% 14.5% 14.3% 12.9% 7.2% 0.6%
Walter McFarland 4.3% 3.3% 6.0% 7.3% 7.4% 8.3% 12.9% 14.2% 18.5% 16.7% 1.1%
Noah Stapleton 16.9% 17.5% 16.9% 14.5% 12.5% 10.5% 5.7% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Parker Moore 11.9% 12.6% 13.5% 14.7% 11.8% 13.0% 9.1% 8.2% 3.2% 2.0% 0.0%
Freddie Parkin 28.1% 20.9% 18.6% 12.5% 9.7% 4.4% 3.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Cody Roe 13.6% 16.2% 15.3% 13.0% 12.1% 10.6% 7.8% 6.4% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2%
Ryan Keenan 6.4% 4.7% 5.9% 7.5% 10.4% 9.5% 12.9% 14.2% 13.8% 13.7% 1.0%
Jan Mistak 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 4.4% 5.4% 7.4% 8.9% 11.8% 16.4% 34.4% 2.6%
Keith Grupenhoff 6.6% 7.8% 8.4% 9.1% 10.9% 14.4% 12.4% 11.0% 11.8% 6.6% 1.0%
Turner Ryon 4.8% 6.3% 5.4% 7.3% 9.5% 9.5% 12.3% 13.7% 16.0% 14.3% 0.9%
Cole Norris 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 1.7% 3.2% 92.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.