Race 1B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Griggs Diemar 24.0% 21.1% 17.2% 12.5% 9.3% 7.0% 3.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Crue Ziskind 8.3% 9.9% 11.7% 10.7% 11.3% 8.7% 10.6% 9.8% 8.7% 6.3% 3.8% 0.2%
Bo Angus 16.5% 15.6% 13.8% 11.8% 13.7% 9.3% 8.2% 5.6% 3.1% 1.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Leila Pfrang 6.9% 8.8% 9.4% 11.3% 9.9% 9.4% 12.0% 11.7% 7.8% 8.9% 3.2% 0.7%
Henry Ladd 8.1% 7.5% 7.7% 11.0% 9.5% 10.1% 10.1% 9.8% 9.7% 8.5% 7.4% 0.6%
Jake Homberger 7.7% 7.7% 7.4% 8.0% 9.6% 11.2% 10.5% 11.3% 11.3% 8.1% 6.8% 0.4%
Alders Kulynych-Irvin 10.1% 10.6% 11.9% 11.1% 9.8% 11.1% 8.8% 8.2% 8.5% 6.7% 3.1% 0.1%
Kaitlyn Beaver 2.8% 4.0% 3.5% 4.5% 3.8% 6.2% 7.3% 8.8% 10.5% 15.6% 28.5% 4.5%
Peter Judge 2.9% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 5.8% 7.6% 8.5% 9.3% 11.4% 18.6% 22.5% 2.6%
Keegan Chatburn 6.4% 6.0% 5.8% 7.3% 7.7% 8.1% 10.6% 10.9% 13.2% 11.6% 11.5% 0.9%
Leonardo Burnham 6.0% 5.4% 7.8% 7.4% 9.1% 10.8% 9.2% 10.4% 13.1% 11.6% 8.0% 1.2%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.3% 1.3% 1.9% 4.0% 88.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.