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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.78+6.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+6.67vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.23+6.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.52+4.24vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.33+4.09vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.38+2.98vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.21vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.90+2.96vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.10+1.17vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.29-0.38vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.65-3.14vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-4.45vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-2.34vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-3.13vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.90-4.04vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.34-2.59vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.39-7.92vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.44College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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8.67Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.82Dartmouth College3.230.0%1st Place
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8.24Brown University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.09Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.98Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.96University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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10.17Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.62University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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7.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.96Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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13.41University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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9.08Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Heausler | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% |
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% |
| Genoa Warner | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Margaret Tautz | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Megan Magill | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.6% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.7% |
| Emilie Mademann | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 27.0% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.