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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.20+1.53vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.09+3.39vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.33+0.97vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42-0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont-0.05-0.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.15-0.83vs Predicted
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7Boston University-1.31+0.13vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.11-3.16vs Predicted
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9Amherst College-1.69-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.53University of Rhode Island1.2032.2%1st Place
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5.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.097.5%1st Place
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3.97Brown University0.3312.2%1st Place
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3.42Fairfield University0.4219.3%1st Place
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4.95University of Vermont-0.058.6%1st Place
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5.17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.158.2%1st Place
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7.13Boston University-1.311.9%1st Place
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4.84McGill University-0.118.2%1st Place
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7.6Amherst College-1.691.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Sigel | 32.2% | 25.9% | 17.9% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| John Van Zanten | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 14.1% | 6.8% |
| Keller Morrison | 12.2% | 16.3% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 19.3% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ella Towner | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 4.2% |
| John Divelbiss | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 11.2% | 5.0% |
| Danielle Bogacheva | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 25.9% | 32.2% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Adrian Whitney | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 22.2% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.