Race 2B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Crue Ziskind 9.2% 7.3% 10.4% 11.3% 11.2% 10.9% 11.6% 8.9% 8.3% 6.7% 3.9% 0.3%
Alders Kulynych-Irvin 8.6% 10.1% 12.1% 10.7% 11.4% 9.7% 9.7% 10.2% 9.2% 6.0% 2.1% 0.2%
Bo Angus 16.9% 15.5% 14.1% 11.9% 11.7% 10.9% 7.4% 5.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Leonardo Burnham 5.3% 6.0% 8.0% 9.8% 8.3% 9.9% 12.1% 10.0% 10.0% 11.5% 8.1% 1.0%
Griggs Diemar 24.8% 22.5% 14.7% 11.7% 9.2% 6.9% 4.8% 2.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Jake Homberger 6.8% 9.0% 7.2% 8.1% 9.5% 11.1% 11.6% 10.8% 10.4% 9.5% 5.5% 0.5%
Henry Ladd 8.2% 9.1% 8.3% 9.8% 10.1% 8.8% 9.2% 11.3% 9.5% 9.4% 6.1% 0.2%
Leila Pfrang 9.0% 8.8% 10.6% 9.7% 9.1% 10.3% 9.7% 10.4% 10.5% 6.8% 4.4% 0.7%
Keegan Chatburn 4.6% 5.3% 7.2% 8.6% 8.5% 9.2% 9.9% 11.6% 12.6% 12.6% 9.1% 0.8%
Kaitlyn Beaver 3.1% 3.8% 3.6% 3.9% 5.0% 5.4% 6.7% 8.4% 10.3% 17.3% 28.8% 3.7%
Peter Judge 3.2% 2.4% 3.5% 4.1% 5.6% 6.4% 6.5% 9.0% 13.1% 15.2% 26.4% 4.6%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.0% 2.4% 5.0% 88.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.