Race 4B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Griggs Diemar 24.4% 17.2% 16.3% 13.1% 9.7% 8.6% 4.2% 3.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jake Homberger 7.6% 4.8% 9.6% 7.0% 9.2% 10.1% 10.1% 9.5% 8.9% 10.7% 7.6% 4.3% 0.6%
Leila Pfrang 5.7% 8.9% 8.8% 9.6% 9.9% 10.3% 9.6% 10.2% 10.4% 7.8% 5.3% 3.1% 0.4%
Keegan Chatburn 4.9% 5.4% 5.7% 6.4% 8.8% 7.8% 7.8% 9.8% 9.7% 12.0% 11.1% 9.4% 1.2%
Bo Angus 14.9% 17.9% 12.7% 11.2% 11.3% 8.5% 9.2% 5.7% 4.2% 2.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Crue Ziskind 9.6% 9.4% 8.4% 9.8% 10.2% 10.9% 9.3% 8.7% 8.8% 6.8% 4.7% 3.1% 0.3%
Leonardo Burnham 7.2% 6.1% 7.9% 8.0% 7.1% 8.1% 9.3% 9.8% 10.4% 11.0% 7.9% 6.6% 0.6%
Graham Rebain 3.9% 5.4% 5.0% 5.8% 5.4% 7.6% 7.9% 9.1% 10.2% 11.5% 15.7% 11.4% 1.1%
Kaitlyn Beaver 2.4% 3.8% 3.2% 3.8% 4.1% 3.4% 6.0% 6.4% 9.2% 12.1% 14.8% 26.7% 4.1%
Alders Kulynych-Irvin 9.7% 8.7% 10.9% 9.7% 11.6% 9.5% 7.8% 9.7% 7.6% 6.5% 5.2% 2.8% 0.3%
Henry Ladd 6.7% 8.6% 8.2% 11.5% 7.8% 9.3% 11.4% 9.7% 9.1% 6.9% 6.7% 3.7% 0.4%
Peter Judge 2.7% 3.6% 3.0% 4.1% 4.6% 5.6% 6.7% 7.2% 8.5% 10.9% 16.5% 23.3% 3.3%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 5.2% 87.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.