Race 5B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Griggs Diemar 23.2% 19.5% 16.3% 12.3% 10.2% 7.4% 4.8% 3.2% 1.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Leonardo Burnham 5.7% 6.2% 7.6% 7.7% 7.8% 8.9% 9.7% 10.1% 9.6% 9.9% 9.7% 6.2% 0.9%
Alders Kulynych-Irvin 7.5% 10.7% 9.7% 11.6% 9.0% 9.6% 10.8% 11.0% 7.4% 5.2% 5.1% 2.3% 0.1%
Leila Pfrang 8.0% 8.3% 8.1% 9.2% 10.7% 10.0% 9.0% 9.9% 8.7% 8.4% 5.8% 3.4% 0.5%
Jake Homberger 7.3% 8.1% 8.1% 9.1% 8.4% 8.3% 9.1% 12.1% 9.9% 7.4% 7.5% 4.5% 0.2%
Kaitlyn Beaver 2.3% 2.5% 5.1% 3.2% 3.9% 5.3% 7.2% 6.7% 9.6% 10.9% 17.1% 22.7% 3.5%
Crue Ziskind 10.1% 10.0% 9.3% 8.6% 9.9% 10.6% 10.0% 8.8% 6.8% 8.1% 5.0% 2.5% 0.3%
Henry Ladd 7.6% 6.4% 8.1% 9.8% 9.3% 8.5% 11.0% 9.1% 9.7% 10.4% 6.8% 3.1% 0.2%
Graham Rebain 4.5% 4.6% 3.6% 6.0% 6.7% 5.7% 7.1% 9.0% 12.0% 12.9% 12.2% 13.5% 2.2%
Keegan Chatburn 5.9% 4.8% 5.8% 8.0% 7.1% 9.1% 7.9% 8.7% 10.1% 11.3% 10.7% 9.5% 1.1%
Bo Angus 15.5% 16.0% 15.5% 11.2% 10.9% 10.2% 7.6% 5.1% 3.9% 2.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.5% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 5.9% 86.0%
John Fichtenholtz 2.3% 2.6% 2.6% 2.9% 5.9% 5.7% 5.4% 5.8% 9.6% 10.3% 16.0% 25.9% 5.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.