Race 6B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Leila Pfrang 7.8% 7.3% 9.7% 10.5% 8.3% 10.1% 9.2% 10.5% 9.8% 6.6% 6.9% 3.0% 0.3%
Crue Ziskind 8.1% 8.7% 10.0% 10.0% 9.7% 10.6% 10.1% 8.8% 9.9% 6.3% 5.1% 2.3% 0.4%
Graham Rebain 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 7.2% 7.1% 6.8% 8.1% 9.4% 10.3% 12.2% 13.6% 12.7% 1.2%
Griggs Diemar 23.9% 19.9% 15.7% 11.3% 11.0% 6.6% 5.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bo Angus 15.9% 16.2% 13.8% 11.7% 12.4% 8.8% 6.5% 5.7% 4.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Alders Kulynych-Irvin 8.5% 10.7% 10.7% 10.7% 9.4% 10.2% 9.4% 9.9% 7.0% 6.3% 4.7% 2.3% 0.2%
Leonardo Burnham 7.4% 7.0% 7.1% 7.4% 6.5% 8.7% 10.6% 9.1% 8.9% 11.9% 8.7% 6.0% 0.7%
Keegan Chatburn 5.1% 6.0% 6.6% 6.2% 6.8% 8.3% 9.1% 9.2% 10.9% 11.8% 9.9% 9.5% 0.6%
Henry Ladd 6.9% 7.3% 7.6% 9.3% 9.3% 8.3% 10.4% 10.0% 9.6% 7.7% 7.9% 5.1% 0.6%
Jake Homberger 8.2% 7.1% 7.9% 7.8% 9.6% 9.6% 9.4% 9.6% 9.4% 7.3% 8.8% 4.8% 0.5%
Kaitlyn Beaver 2.4% 2.7% 3.7% 3.7% 5.7% 6.1% 5.4% 6.8% 9.6% 12.4% 15.0% 23.0% 3.5%
John Fichtenholtz 2.2% 3.2% 2.5% 4.2% 4.1% 5.0% 6.3% 6.6% 7.3% 12.4% 15.5% 26.7% 4.0%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.4% 2.3% 4.4% 88.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.