Race 7B

nickerson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Griggs Diemar 24.8% 21.0% 17.4% 14.1% 11.1% 6.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Bo Angus 17.2% 18.1% 16.5% 12.4% 10.8% 9.3% 7.3% 4.9% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Crue Ziskind 9.5% 9.8% 9.9% 10.7% 11.1% 12.5% 12.7% 10.3% 8.8% 4.5% 0.2%
Alders Kulynych-Irvin 9.0% 10.4% 9.7% 12.3% 11.8% 12.4% 11.3% 10.6% 7.7% 4.4% 0.4%
Leila Pfrang 9.4% 9.6% 10.8% 9.5% 11.9% 11.4% 11.4% 10.6% 9.1% 5.9% 0.4%
Leonardo Burnham 6.7% 7.2% 7.9% 9.6% 9.7% 11.0% 13.4% 11.6% 12.7% 9.5% 0.7%
John Fichtenholtz 3.8% 3.6% 3.1% 5.6% 5.9% 6.8% 9.1% 12.0% 17.8% 27.5% 4.8%
Jake Homberger 8.4% 8.2% 10.2% 10.6% 11.7% 11.1% 10.9% 11.3% 10.6% 6.4% 0.6%
Henry Ladd 7.5% 8.7% 9.5% 9.8% 10.8% 11.4% 11.7% 12.5% 9.5% 7.0% 1.6%
Kaitlyn Beaver 3.2% 3.4% 4.8% 4.9% 4.9% 7.3% 8.3% 13.1% 17.0% 28.1% 5.0%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.5% 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 6.3% 86.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.