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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.29+4.82vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.57+3.08vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.08+1.02vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.50-0.83vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.52-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.15-0.95vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.42-2.81vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36-1.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.34-2.15vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.33-5.57vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-2.11-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Boston College1.290.1%1st Place
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5.08Dartmouth College1.570.1%1st Place
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4.02Roger Williams University2.080.2%1st Place
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3.17Stanford University2.500.3%1st Place
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5.16Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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6.05University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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5.19Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.340.0%1st Place
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5.43Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
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10.64University of New Hampshire-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Homberger | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Alders Kulynych-Irvin | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.2% |
| Bo Angus | 16.0% | 15.7% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Griggs Diemar | 25.8% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Crue Ziskind | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 0.2% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 0.6% |
| Leila Pfrang | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 27.4% | 3.7% |
| John Fichtenholtz | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 30.9% | 6.6% |
| Henry Ladd | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.