Race 9B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Crue Ziskind 7.9% 12.1% 11.9% 12.3% 13.1% 12.7% 11.7% 9.8% 5.7% 2.6% 0.2%
Bo Angus 19.9% 17.4% 16.2% 13.7% 12.1% 8.9% 5.4% 3.9% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Leila Pfrang 9.6% 9.5% 9.6% 10.7% 12.2% 12.8% 12.2% 11.7% 6.7% 5.0% 0.0%
Griggs Diemar 26.0% 22.5% 17.7% 13.4% 8.9% 6.2% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Leonardo Burnham 7.4% 8.1% 9.9% 10.8% 8.9% 10.9% 11.8% 12.5% 10.7% 8.2% 0.8%
Harry Bryan 7.2% 8.1% 7.8% 10.5% 10.9% 11.1% 11.1% 13.3% 10.7% 8.9% 0.4%
Jake Homberger 9.8% 9.0% 10.6% 11.4% 12.1% 11.4% 13.2% 9.3% 8.0% 4.5% 0.7%
Noah Reischmann 5.0% 4.8% 6.8% 7.8% 9.2% 10.4% 11.1% 12.1% 15.0% 16.2% 1.6%
John Fichtenholtz 3.2% 4.3% 4.2% 3.6% 6.1% 7.0% 9.5% 11.7% 20.7% 23.5% 6.2%
Kaitlyn Beaver 3.5% 4.1% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 7.8% 9.6% 12.5% 16.5% 25.2% 4.3%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 3.1% 5.7% 85.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.