Race 10B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Leila Pfrang 7.4% 10.5% 11.8% 11.6% 10.0% 14.1% 13.0% 11.8% 5.7% 3.7% 0.4%
Griggs Diemar 29.1% 22.7% 16.6% 12.9% 8.3% 5.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Bo Angus 16.4% 17.0% 17.1% 13.5% 13.1% 9.7% 7.0% 4.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Crue Ziskind 9.5% 11.1% 10.4% 12.4% 13.7% 12.1% 12.2% 8.3% 6.4% 3.7% 0.2%
Noah Reischmann 5.0% 4.6% 7.0% 6.8% 8.0% 9.8% 11.0% 13.1% 15.2% 17.8% 1.7%
Leonardo Burnham 7.1% 8.2% 8.4% 10.0% 12.3% 9.9% 13.1% 11.5% 9.8% 9.0% 0.7%
John Fichtenholtz 4.6% 2.8% 4.2% 6.7% 5.9% 8.6% 9.7% 12.5% 16.8% 23.9% 4.3%
Jake Homberger 8.7% 10.2% 10.9% 12.3% 11.4% 11.5% 9.1% 10.6% 9.8% 5.0% 0.5%
Kaitlyn Beaver 3.6% 4.0% 4.6% 3.4% 6.5% 6.7% 9.4% 11.8% 18.8% 25.2% 6.0%
Harry Bryan 8.2% 8.7% 8.7% 10.0% 10.6% 11.2% 11.7% 13.1% 11.0% 6.3% 0.5%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 1.0% 1.7% 4.3% 5.0% 85.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.