Race 11B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Leonardo Burnham 6.0% 7.7% 9.2% 11.0% 11.6% 12.8% 11.6% 11.7% 11.9% 5.4% 1.1%
Griggs Diemar 30.3% 24.5% 14.9% 12.3% 7.8% 5.1% 3.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Bo Angus 16.9% 18.2% 17.0% 15.0% 11.2% 8.4% 6.7% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Jake Homberger 8.0% 8.7% 10.4% 8.9% 12.8% 13.2% 12.7% 9.5% 9.0% 6.3% 0.5%
William Baker 6.9% 6.8% 7.7% 9.9% 10.7% 9.4% 10.9% 12.9% 12.7% 11.0% 1.1%
Peter Judge 3.5% 5.0% 6.0% 5.3% 6.1% 8.8% 9.5% 14.1% 15.4% 21.8% 4.5%
Harry Bryan 8.2% 7.6% 10.9% 10.2% 12.4% 11.8% 10.9% 11.4% 9.1% 6.4% 1.1%
Kaitlyn Beaver 4.1% 3.4% 4.1% 5.7% 7.1% 9.4% 10.1% 12.4% 15.4% 24.4% 3.9%
Crue Ziskind 10.1% 12.2% 12.6% 13.4% 10.9% 11.5% 11.0% 8.9% 5.9% 2.9% 0.6%
Noah Reischmann 5.6% 5.8% 6.6% 8.2% 8.6% 9.1% 11.6% 12.1% 15.1% 15.3% 2.0%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.4% 0.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.8% 0.5% 1.5% 1.9% 3.2% 5.8% 85.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.