Race 1A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Adam Larson 18.1% 18.4% 14.5% 12.8% 11.8% 9.0% 5.9% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Riley 7.8% 7.3% 8.5% 8.0% 9.3% 9.3% 11.1% 10.2% 9.1% 8.2% 6.8% 3.6% 0.8%
Lars Osell 9.3% 11.1% 11.5% 9.5% 9.2% 10.8% 8.7% 8.6% 8.3% 6.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5%
Landon Cormie 18.2% 15.4% 14.7% 13.2% 11.3% 7.8% 7.0% 5.4% 3.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Joshua Bendura 8.1% 8.2% 7.6% 8.1% 8.5% 9.6% 9.8% 9.0% 11.0% 9.4% 6.6% 3.4% 0.9%
Olivia Sowa 9.8% 10.3% 9.4% 11.7% 10.5% 9.7% 10.2% 9.2% 8.1% 5.5% 3.8% 1.7% 0.2%
Valerio Palamara 8.3% 7.1% 7.1% 11.0% 9.7% 9.0% 9.6% 10.7% 8.8% 8.8% 6.2% 3.0% 0.7%
Aston Atherton 6.2% 6.3% 8.0% 6.8% 7.8% 8.2% 9.0% 9.7% 10.2% 10.3% 8.6% 6.6% 2.4%
Joseph Bonacci 2.7% 4.3% 5.2% 5.2% 5.5% 6.6% 8.2% 8.2% 9.1% 11.5% 14.0% 13.1% 6.4%
Luke Manternach 6.8% 6.5% 5.9% 6.7% 8.7% 8.5% 9.0% 10.4% 11.6% 9.8% 10.3% 4.4% 1.7%
William Roberts 1.6% 2.2% 3.3% 3.1% 3.0% 4.2% 4.2% 5.9% 6.4% 9.8% 14.8% 21.9% 19.5%
Patrick Cashin 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 2.7% 3.0% 5.2% 5.1% 5.4% 7.7% 12.2% 13.8% 22.1% 16.2%
Sam Woodley 1.4% 1.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 4.8% 9.0% 17.9% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.