← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+1.19vs Predicted
-
2Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+0.80vs Predicted
-
3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.97+0.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Texas1.17+0.77vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.50+2.67vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas1.46-1.77vs Predicted
-
7Baylor University-1.02+1.42vs Predicted
-
8Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.48-0.40vs Predicted
-
9University of South Alabama-0.06-2.13vs Predicted
-
10Baylor University-1.54-0.66vs Predicted
-
11Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.13-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.4%1st Place
-
2.8Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.2%1st Place
-
3.45Texas A&M University at Galveston1.970.1%1st Place
-
4.77University of Texas1.170.1%1st Place
-
7.67Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.500.0%1st Place
-
4.23University of Texas1.460.1%1st Place
-
8.42Baylor University-1.020.0%1st Place
-
7.6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.480.0%1st Place
-
6.87University of South Alabama-0.060.0%1st Place
-
9.34Baylor University-1.540.0%1st Place
-
8.67Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Atwood | 36.9% | 28.0% | 20.2% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Weston | 24.2% | 26.1% | 19.4% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebekka Urbina | 14.6% | 18.1% | 19.3% | 20.7% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 6.4% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Seth Owens | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 17.9% | 14.9% | 8.7% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 9.9% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Maher | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 6.0% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 18.7% |
| Aly Gazzola | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 7.9% |
| Ben Posey | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.4% |
| Kevin Wilson | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 40.6% |
| Emmett Dickheiser | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 17.1% | 22.6% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.