Race 12B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
William Baker 5.1% 6.0% 8.4% 8.6% 10.0% 12.6% 12.6% 14.6% 12.2% 8.7% 1.2%
Jake Homberger 8.4% 9.8% 10.8% 11.5% 12.8% 11.3% 11.0% 10.7% 7.7% 5.6% 0.4%
Harry Bryan 6.6% 8.3% 7.9% 9.7% 10.9% 12.8% 11.8% 13.0% 11.0% 7.7% 0.3%
Leonardo Burnham 6.1% 8.7% 8.9% 8.9% 11.9% 13.1% 12.5% 10.7% 11.3% 7.0% 0.9%
Bo Angus 18.6% 18.0% 19.0% 13.9% 10.3% 7.9% 5.7% 3.9% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Noah Reischmann 3.9% 6.2% 6.2% 7.7% 7.9% 10.9% 11.4% 12.1% 15.9% 15.4% 2.4%
Griggs Diemar 31.1% 24.2% 16.8% 12.7% 7.3% 3.8% 2.3% 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Kaitlyn Beaver 3.8% 3.5% 4.9% 5.1% 8.0% 8.9% 11.7% 10.3% 15.9% 24.2% 3.7%
Peter Judge 4.0% 3.9% 4.8% 5.6% 7.3% 8.5% 10.4% 13.4% 14.9% 21.8% 5.4%
Crue Ziskind 12.0% 11.2% 12.0% 15.8% 12.8% 9.5% 9.5% 8.5% 5.5% 3.0% 0.2%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 1.1% 2.0% 2.9% 5.6% 85.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.