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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.70+5.81vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.97+4.05vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.50-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.15+1.84vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.12+0.74vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.38-0.81vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.52-2.33vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.47-0.91vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36-1.46vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.08-6.48vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-2.11-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Bowdoin College0.700.0%1st Place
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6.05Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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2.95Stanford University2.500.3%1st Place
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5.84University of Rhode Island1.150.1%1st Place
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5.74Dartmouth College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.19Boston College1.380.1%1st Place
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4.67Tufts University1.520.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.470.0%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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3.52Roger Williams University2.080.2%1st Place
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10.59University of New Hampshire-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Reischmann | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 2.1% |
| William Baker | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 8.9% | 0.9% |
| Griggs Diemar | 27.0% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leonardo Burnham | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 14.3% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 0.9% |
| Harry Bryan | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Brady Kennedy | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.2% |
| Crue Ziskind | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Judge | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 3.0% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 16.0% | 25.8% | 5.7% |
| Bo Angus | 21.1% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.