Race 14B

nickerson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Brady Kennedy 7.9% 9.2% 11.3% 11.7% 14.0% 10.7% 13.5% 11.5% 6.7% 3.4% 0.1%
Leonardo Burnham 7.8% 7.2% 8.9% 11.3% 11.9% 12.3% 11.0% 11.8% 10.7% 6.3% 0.8%
Crue Ziskind 11.1% 9.0% 12.1% 12.9% 12.4% 11.4% 11.6% 10.3% 5.3% 3.7% 0.2%
Griggs Diemar 26.5% 24.0% 18.9% 11.3% 7.5% 6.1% 3.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Reischmann 5.3% 5.6% 6.4% 6.6% 9.4% 9.9% 11.2% 11.8% 15.3% 16.0% 2.5%
Kaitlyn Beaver 3.4% 3.5% 4.7% 6.2% 4.9% 7.7% 10.3% 12.1% 16.9% 24.4% 5.9%
Bo Angus 20.8% 21.0% 14.9% 13.4% 9.4% 9.3% 5.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
William Baker 6.9% 6.8% 8.6% 10.2% 10.3% 12.0% 10.5% 11.4% 12.4% 9.9% 1.0%
Harry Bryan 6.0% 8.3% 8.8% 9.6% 11.6% 11.2% 12.4% 12.0% 10.2% 8.8% 1.1%
Peter Judge 3.8% 5.3% 5.1% 6.5% 7.9% 8.7% 9.6% 12.0% 17.1% 20.3% 3.7%
Peter Huntley-Robertson 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 2.0% 3.0% 6.5% 84.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.