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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+0.50vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.23vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley-0.50-0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-1.29vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-2.29-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Stanford University2.470.6%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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3.23University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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5.01Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.62Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 64.2% | 25.1% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 13.9% | 27.4% | 26.2% | 17.6% | 10.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 11.3% | 22.9% | 25.5% | 21.1% | 11.7% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 22.0% | 16.2% | 4.7% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.0% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 16.7% | 22.7% | 23.5% | 13.2% | 3.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.1% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 20.8% | 21.4% | 11.0% | 3.4% |
| Erin Welker | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 14.0% | 32.5% | 34.8% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 9.8% | 25.0% | 53.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.