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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+0.49vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.41+0.79vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.57+0.03vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-2.29+1.11vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.41vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley-0.50-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.49Stanford University2.470.7%1st Place
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2.96University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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3.2University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.03Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
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6.59Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 65.2% | 24.0% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 13.9% | 27.3% | 26.7% | 17.3% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 11.7% | 22.3% | 27.4% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 2.9% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.4% | 21.0% | 24.4% | 11.0% | 3.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.8% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 17.2% | 20.0% | 24.7% | 15.2% | 4.5% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 23.8% | 55.7% |
| Erin Welker | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 12.4% | 36.6% | 32.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 22.2% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.