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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.47+0.50vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+0.97vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.23vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41-0.24vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.15vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-2.29-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.5Stanford University2.470.6%1st Place
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2.97University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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3.23University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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5.01Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.61Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Harned | 64.4% | 24.6% | 8.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 14.0% | 27.6% | 26.0% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 11.3% | 23.2% | 25.3% | 21.1% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 22.6% | 21.7% | 16.2% | 4.6% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.2% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 21.9% | 21.6% | 12.3% | 2.5% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.6% | 5.8% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 20.5% | 24.1% | 11.2% | 4.6% |
| Erin Welker | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 32.7% | 34.7% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 9.8% | 25.3% | 53.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.