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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+2.22vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.47-0.49vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.90-0.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.92vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79+1.59vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.57-1.03vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-2.29+0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.41-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.22University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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1.51Stanford University2.470.6%1st Place
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2.98University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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6.59Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.97Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evelyn Engebretson | 10.0% | 24.4% | 27.1% | 19.2% | 12.1% | 6.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ellie Harned | 64.4% | 24.0% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 13.5% | 27.1% | 27.0% | 18.7% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.5% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 16.0% | 21.9% | 22.8% | 14.7% | 3.5% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 34.4% | 31.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 17.5% | 20.8% | 23.2% | 15.3% | 4.2% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 8.5% | 22.5% | 57.2% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.1% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 11.3% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.