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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.90+1.94vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.47-0.49vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.25vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.41+0.79vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.57+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.14vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-2.29+0.12vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.79-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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1.51Stanford University2.470.6%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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5.01Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.12University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
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6.54Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 14.6% | 29.3% | 24.8% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ellie Harned | 63.7% | 25.3% | 8.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 10.5% | 22.2% | 27.4% | 21.0% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 2.8% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 23.4% | 20.2% | 13.4% | 2.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 3.2% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 22.9% | 16.1% | 4.3% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.7% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 22.2% | 12.9% | 4.2% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 20.3% | 59.1% |
| Erin Welker | 0.7% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 17.1% | 35.0% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.