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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.90+1.93vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.41+2.79vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47-1.56vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-1.74vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.57-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-2.29+0.13vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-1.79-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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1.44Stanford University2.470.7%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.26University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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4.96Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.13University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
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6.55Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 12.9% | 31.0% | 24.0% | 19.4% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.6% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 23.6% | 19.9% | 12.9% | 3.4% |
| Ellie Harned | 68.4% | 21.6% | 7.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.3% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 16.8% | 20.0% | 23.9% | 14.8% | 3.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.9% | 23.0% | 29.1% | 19.1% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 15.0% | 4.6% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 20.8% | 58.8% |
| Erin Welker | 0.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 16.6% | 34.6% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.