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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.90+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+1.27vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.47-1.55vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.92vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.57-0.03vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79+0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.41-2.20vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-2.29-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Hawaii0.900.1%1st Place
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3.27University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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1.45Stanford University2.470.7%1st Place
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4.92University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.97Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.56Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.8University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 12.8% | 29.8% | 25.8% | 17.9% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 11.0% | 20.5% | 28.0% | 20.1% | 13.3% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ellie Harned | 66.5% | 25.1% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 2.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 22.7% | 22.4% | 13.1% | 4.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.9% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 17.2% | 21.5% | 21.4% | 15.6% | 4.5% |
| Erin Welker | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 30.7% | 33.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.8% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 22.5% | 13.1% | 3.6% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 25.8% | 54.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.