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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University at Galveston2.36+1.82vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University at Galveston2.83+0.20vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Galveston1.97+0.49vs Predicted
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4Baylor University-1.02+4.69vs Predicted
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5University of Texas1.46-0.82vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.50+1.73vs Predicted
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7University of Texas1.17-2.45vs Predicted
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8University of South Alabama-0.06-1.24vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.13-0.22vs Predicted
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10Baylor University-1.54-0.68vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.48-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Texas A&M University at Galveston2.360.2%1st Place
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2.2Texas A&M University at Galveston2.830.4%1st Place
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3.49Texas A&M University at Galveston1.970.1%1st Place
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8.69Baylor University-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.18University of Texas1.460.1%1st Place
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7.73Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.55University of Texas1.170.1%1st Place
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6.76University of South Alabama-0.060.0%1st Place
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8.78Texas A&M University at Galveston-1.130.0%1st Place
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9.32Baylor University-1.540.0%1st Place
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7.48Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Weston | 22.3% | 24.6% | 22.0% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Atwood | 38.6% | 26.7% | 18.9% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rebekka Urbina | 14.9% | 15.7% | 22.0% | 18.8% | 16.1% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lawrence Maher | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 21.2% | 21.0% | 21.1% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 8.8% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Seth Owens | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 15.6% | 7.8% |
| Ellen Nielsen | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 21.3% | 16.2% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Posey | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 17.9% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 7.3% | 2.6% |
| Emmett Dickheiser | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 26.0% | 21.9% |
| Kevin Wilson | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 39.7% |
| Aly Gazzola | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 20.4% | 17.2% | 10.7% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.