Race 2A

hanbury

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Valerio Palamara 7.4% 8.2% 8.8% 9.0% 10.2% 10.3% 9.8% 10.0% 9.0% 7.4% 5.4% 3.4% 1.1%
Landon Cormie 19.4% 18.0% 16.2% 11.6% 9.8% 8.6% 6.2% 4.4% 3.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Lars Osell 9.6% 9.3% 10.2% 8.9% 9.9% 11.2% 10.0% 10.2% 8.2% 5.1% 4.5% 2.6% 0.4%
Olivia Sowa 9.6% 10.4% 9.8% 10.4% 11.5% 9.6% 9.7% 10.2% 7.7% 5.7% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Sam Riley 7.5% 6.9% 9.5% 9.7% 9.7% 9.3% 9.4% 9.3% 8.5% 9.3% 6.0% 3.9% 0.9%
Adam Larson 19.4% 17.0% 13.8% 11.8% 11.6% 9.2% 7.6% 4.7% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Joshua Bendura 7.1% 7.8% 8.2% 10.3% 8.5% 8.7% 9.6% 10.4% 10.5% 7.8% 6.9% 3.5% 0.8%
Aston Atherton 5.9% 5.7% 6.3% 7.8% 8.9% 7.5% 9.2% 10.1% 9.9% 11.7% 8.9% 6.4% 1.8%
Luke Manternach 5.3% 7.1% 6.5% 7.0% 7.0% 9.8% 9.5% 9.8% 10.7% 10.9% 8.3% 6.0% 2.0%
Joseph Bonacci 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 6.4% 4.7% 5.9% 7.1% 7.3% 9.6% 13.3% 15.2% 12.6% 6.7%
William Roberts 2.1% 2.4% 2.1% 2.7% 3.4% 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 7.2% 9.4% 14.8% 23.0% 19.1%
Patrick Cashin 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 2.6% 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 5.1% 8.2% 10.7% 15.9% 20.8% 16.0%
Sam Woodley 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.4% 1.7% 2.6% 3.0% 4.1% 5.8% 9.2% 16.4% 50.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.