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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.90+1.67vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.57+2.91vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.00vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.18-1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41-0.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.50-1.24vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University-1.79-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California-2.29-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of Hawaii0.900.3%1st Place
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4.91Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
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3.0University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.2%1st Place
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2.38Stanford University1.180.3%1st Place
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4.65University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.76University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.58Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Southern California-2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 27.1% | 24.4% | 20.9% | 15.1% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 21.9% | 21.7% | 15.9% | 4.8% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 20.3% | 21.6% | 22.5% | 16.5% | 13.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Kit Harned | 31.9% | 28.7% | 19.8% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 22.6% | 11.9% | 2.3% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 16.0% | 20.3% | 23.7% | 11.5% | 4.2% |
| Erin Welker | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 13.1% | 32.3% | 35.2% |
| Anastasia Reille | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 25.3% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.