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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.90+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.50+2.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.12vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.92-2.23vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-1.79+1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.41-1.39vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85University of Hawaii0.900.2%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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1.77Stanford University1.920.5%1st Place
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6.25Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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4.67Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 19.2% | 26.5% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 18.4% | 24.1% | 24.4% | 12.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 14.6% | 20.4% | 27.5% | 20.3% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Callie Hammond | 51.5% | 27.6% | 15.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erin Welker | 0.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 16.5% | 64.4% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.4% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 22.7% | 22.3% | 11.6% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.7% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 25.0% | 26.7% | 10.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.