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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii0.90+1.81vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.92-0.23vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.50+1.72vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.41+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-1.85vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79+0.22vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of Hawaii0.900.2%1st Place
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1.77Stanford University1.920.5%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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3.15University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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6.22Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.69Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martha Schuessler | 20.4% | 26.2% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 9.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Callie Hammond | 52.1% | 27.7% | 13.5% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 16.8% | 23.6% | 24.9% | 12.3% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.2% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 18.8% | 22.7% | 23.4% | 11.1% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 12.9% | 22.1% | 26.5% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Erin Welker | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 18.4% | 62.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 4.6% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 22.5% | 26.1% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.