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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.92+0.74vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.90+0.82vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.67+0.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley-0.50+0.78vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.41-0.37vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79+0.25vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-2.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.74Stanford University1.920.5%1st Place
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2.82University of Hawaii0.900.2%1st Place
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3.1University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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4.78University of California at Berkeley-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Washington-0.410.0%1st Place
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6.25Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.68Western Washington University-0.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Callie Hammond | 54.2% | 26.8% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 18.1% | 26.7% | 26.6% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 14.0% | 23.8% | 24.2% | 20.6% | 11.3% | 5.5% | 0.6% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 3.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 22.1% | 28.0% | 11.2% |
| Sammy Farkas | 4.4% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 23.1% | 22.0% | 11.8% |
| Erin Welker | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 64.3% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 5.1% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 23.5% | 25.9% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.