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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.41+3.54vs Predicted
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2Stanford University1.92-0.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley-0.50+1.70vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.90-1.12vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.67-1.84vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-1.79+0.23vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57-2.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.54University of Washington-0.410.1%1st Place
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1.75Stanford University1.920.5%1st Place
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4.7University of California at Berkeley-0.500.1%1st Place
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2.88University of Hawaii0.900.2%1st Place
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3.16University of California at Santa Barbara0.670.1%1st Place
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6.23Arizona State University-1.790.0%1st Place
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4.75Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sammy Farkas | 5.4% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 22.7% | 20.8% | 11.7% |
| Callie Hammond | 53.3% | 27.8% | 11.6% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alyssa Cunningham Barkus | 5.5% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 24.2% | 25.4% | 11.8% |
| Martha Schuessler | 17.1% | 26.8% | 23.9% | 18.7% | 10.3% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 13.3% | 22.0% | 26.9% | 19.2% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 0.8% |
| Erin Welker | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 63.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 4.4% | 6.7% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 20.5% | 28.7% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.